Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 19 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible isolated showers that limit peak solar heating. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon further cap daytime warming, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical guidance shows only modest spread, with 32°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current runs do not favor. Updated China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 19 de agosto?
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C o superior
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$17 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$163 Vol.
10%
29°C
$49 Vol.
18%
30°C
$31 Vol.
26%
31°C
$28 Vol.
35%
32°C
$35 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1 Vol.
5%
34°C
$85 Vol.
2%
35°C
$48 Vol.
4%
36°C o superior
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 19 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible isolated showers that limit peak solar heating. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon further cap daytime warming, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical guidance shows only modest spread, with 32°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current runs do not favor. Updated China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$654Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 19 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible isolated showers that limit peak solar heating. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon further cap daytime warming, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical guidance shows only modest spread, with 32°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current runs do not favor. Updated China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$654Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature in Qingdao on August 19 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and possible isolated showers that limit peak solar heating. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon further cap daytime warming, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical guidance shows only modest spread, with 32°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current runs do not favor. Updated China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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