Recent forecast models indicate Guangzhou will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 19, with daytime heating under variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms likely tempering peak temperatures. This setup explains the tight market clustering around 36°C and 37°C, as convective activity and timing of rainfall can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while current guidance from regional monitoring shows modest warming potential amid high humidity, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings before any evening cooling. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 19 de agosto?
36°C 31%
37°C 29%
35°C 18%
38°C 11%
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
31%
37°C
29%
38°C
11%
39°C
4%
40°C o más
<1%
36°C 31%
37°C 29%
35°C 18%
38°C 11%
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
31%
37°C
29%
38°C
11%
39°C
4%
40°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate Guangzhou will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 19, with daytime heating under variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms likely tempering peak temperatures. This setup explains the tight market clustering around 36°C and 37°C, as convective activity and timing of rainfall can suppress or allow brief spikes toward the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while current guidance from regional monitoring shows modest warming potential amid high humidity, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings before any evening cooling. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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