Latest Met Office guidance points to a 24°C maximum in London on August 19, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and the timing of a weak Atlantic front, which could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief sunny spells to push readings toward 25°C. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, yet a cooling trend from northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August mean of roughly 21–22°C. Daily model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF through the 18th will likely refine resolution criteria around official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 19 de agosto?
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
37%
25°C
17%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
20°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
4%
22°C
$264 Vol.
7%
23°C
$80 Vol.
29%
24°C
$235 Vol.
37%
25°C
$244 Vol.
17%
26°C
$100 Vol.
7%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 24°C maximum in London on August 19, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and the timing of a weak Atlantic front, which could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief sunny spells to push readings toward 25°C. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, yet a cooling trend from northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August mean of roughly 21–22°C. Daily model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF through the 18th will likely refine resolution criteria around official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,651Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 24°C maximum in London on August 19, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and the timing of a weak Atlantic front, which could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief sunny spells to push readings toward 25°C. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, yet a cooling trend from northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August mean of roughly 21–22°C. Daily model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF through the 18th will likely refine resolution criteria around official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,651Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 24°C maximum in London on August 19, aligning with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 36% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and the timing of a weak Atlantic front, which could trim highs by 1°C or allow brief sunny spells to push readings toward 25°C. This setup follows a period of above-average warmth earlier in August, yet a cooling trend from northerly flow is expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August mean of roughly 21–22°C. Daily model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF through the 18th will likely refine resolution criteria around official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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