Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11°C on August 19 under southerly flows, aligning with the market's 56.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby 10°C and 12°C options. Mid-winter climatology in the region features average daily highs near 11–12°C, influenced by variable frontal systems and occasional polar air outbreaks that have kept recent readings at or below seasonal norms. NIWA's June–August outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, with limited model spread for this short-range period reducing uncertainty around intensification of cooler conditions or brief northerly warming. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the proximity to the observation window and typical resolution based on verified daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 19 de agosto?
11°C 60%
12°C 22%
10°C 18%
9°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
18%
11°C
60%
12°C
22%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 60%
12°C 22%
10°C 18%
9°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
5°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
2%
9°C
$108 Vol.
3%
10°C
$407 Vol.
18%
11°C
$1,355 Vol.
60%
12°C
$656 Vol.
22%
13°C
$113 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11°C on August 19 under southerly flows, aligning with the market's 56.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby 10°C and 12°C options. Mid-winter climatology in the region features average daily highs near 11–12°C, influenced by variable frontal systems and occasional polar air outbreaks that have kept recent readings at or below seasonal norms. NIWA's June–August outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, with limited model spread for this short-range period reducing uncertainty around intensification of cooler conditions or brief northerly warming. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the proximity to the observation window and typical resolution based on verified daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,177Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11°C on August 19 under southerly flows, aligning with the market's 56.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby 10°C and 12°C options. Mid-winter climatology in the region features average daily highs near 11–12°C, influenced by variable frontal systems and occasional polar air outbreaks that have kept recent readings at or below seasonal norms. NIWA's June–August outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, with limited model spread for this short-range period reducing uncertainty around intensification of cooler conditions or brief northerly warming. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the proximity to the observation window and typical resolution based on verified daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,177Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11°C on August 19 under southerly flows, aligning with the market's 56.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby 10°C and 12°C options. Mid-winter climatology in the region features average daily highs near 11–12°C, influenced by variable frontal systems and occasional polar air outbreaks that have kept recent readings at or below seasonal norms. NIWA's June–August outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, with limited model spread for this short-range period reducing uncertainty around intensification of cooler conditions or brief northerly warming. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the proximity to the observation window and typical resolution based on verified daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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