Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 21 de agosto?
30°C 30%
31°C 27%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
27%
32°C
16%
33°C
10%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
16%
30°C 30%
31°C 27%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
25°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
4%
27°C
$64 Vol.
9%
28°C
$41 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$21 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$44 Vol.
16%
33°C
$86 Vol.
10%
34°C
$18 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$47 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$463Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$463Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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