Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 21 de agosto?
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
$61,859 Vol.
NUEVO
$61,859 Vol.
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
44%
24°C
37%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
$61,859 Vol.
NUEVO
$61,859 Vol.
21 ago 2026
20°C or below
$8,711 Vol.
1%
21°C
$6,462 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,261 Vol.
11%
23°C
$10,363 Vol.
44%
24°C
$5,285 Vol.
37%
25°C
$6,141 Vol.
10%
26°C
$7,461 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,475 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,640 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4,796 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$61,859Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61,859Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes