**Forecast consensus from Météo-France and European models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24 °C in Paris on 22 August 2026, with 23 °C the most probable peak.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 47.5 %, 24 °C at 26.0 %, 22 °C at 14.5 %). A cooling maritime air mass and increased cloud cover are replacing earlier high-pressure warmth, while scattered showers further limit insolation and surface heating. These conditions follow a period of above-average temperatures earlier in August, producing the freshest weekend of the month according to recent analyses. Late-August climatology for Paris centers on 23–24 °C highs, providing additional support for the current cluster. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any showers and the strength of the northeasterly flow. Updated model runs and official Météo-France bulletins through the evening of 21 August remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 22 de agosto?
23°C 48%
24°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
$335 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$434 Vol.
4%
22°C
$851 Vol.
16%
23°C
$2,592 Vol.
48%
24°C
$757 Vol.
26%
25°C
$1,150 Vol.
6%
26°C
$924 Vol.
1%
27°C
$400 Vol.
1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$492 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Météo-France and European models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24 °C in Paris on 22 August 2026, with 23 °C the most probable peak.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 47.5 %, 24 °C at 26.0 %, 22 °C at 14.5 %).
A cooling maritime air mass and increased cloud cover are replacing earlier high-pressure warmth, while scattered showers further limit insolation and surface heating. These conditions follow a period of above-average temperatures earlier in August, producing the freshest weekend of the month according to recent analyses. Late-August climatology for Paris centers on 23–24 °C highs, providing additional support for the current cluster.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any showers and the strength of the northeasterly flow. Updated model runs and official Météo-France bulletins through the evening of 21 August remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,466Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Météo-France and European models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24 °C in Paris on 22 August 2026, with 23 °C the most probable peak.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 47.5 %, 24 °C at 26.0 %, 22 °C at 14.5 %).
A cooling maritime air mass and increased cloud cover are replacing earlier high-pressure warmth, while scattered showers further limit insolation and surface heating. These conditions follow a period of above-average temperatures earlier in August, producing the freshest weekend of the month according to recent analyses. Late-August climatology for Paris centers on 23–24 °C highs, providing additional support for the current cluster.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any showers and the strength of the northeasterly flow. Updated model runs and official Météo-France bulletins through the evening of 21 August remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,466Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from Météo-France and European models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24 °C in Paris on 22 August 2026, with 23 °C the most probable peak.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 47.5 %, 24 °C at 26.0 %, 22 °C at 14.5 %). A cooling maritime air mass and increased cloud cover are replacing earlier high-pressure warmth, while scattered showers further limit insolation and surface heating. These conditions follow a period of above-average temperatures earlier in August, producing the freshest weekend of the month according to recent analyses. Late-August climatology for Paris centers on 23–24 °C highs, providing additional support for the current cluster. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any showers and the strength of the northeasterly flow. Updated model runs and official Météo-France bulletins through the evening of 21 August remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes