Recent meteorological forecasts from models like GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will likely reach 13–16°C on August 21, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and a modest cooling trend following warmer mid-August conditions. These factors limit strong radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant warming from southerly flows. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 14°C, with recent ensemble guidance showing the tightest probability mass around 14–15°C. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, supporting the market's emphasis on these central outcomes ahead of final observational resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de agosto?
15°C 49%
14°C 42%
16°C 13%
12°C 5.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o menos
3%
12°C
5%
13°C
30%
14°C
35%
15°C
49%
16°C
16%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
15°C 49%
14°C 42%
16°C 13%
12°C 5.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$414 Vol.
3%
12°C
$63 Vol.
5%
13°C
$574 Vol.
30%
14°C
$2,001 Vol.
35%
15°C
$577 Vol.
49%
16°C
$190 Vol.
16%
17°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models like GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will likely reach 13–16°C on August 21, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and a modest cooling trend following warmer mid-August conditions. These factors limit strong radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant warming from southerly flows. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 14°C, with recent ensemble guidance showing the tightest probability mass around 14–15°C. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, supporting the market's emphasis on these central outcomes ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$6,610Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models like GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will likely reach 13–16°C on August 21, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and a modest cooling trend following warmer mid-August conditions. These factors limit strong radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant warming from southerly flows. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 14°C, with recent ensemble guidance showing the tightest probability mass around 14–15°C. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, supporting the market's emphasis on these central outcomes ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,610Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from models like GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will likely reach 13–16°C on August 21, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and a modest cooling trend following warmer mid-August conditions. These factors limit strong radiative cooling under clear skies while preventing significant warming from southerly flows. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 14°C, with recent ensemble guidance showing the tightest probability mass around 14–15°C. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, supporting the market's emphasis on these central outcomes ahead of final observational resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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