Current forecast models point to overnight lows of 11–14°C in Mexico City on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds across 11–16°C outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the highland location experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet August’s rainy-season cloud cover and light northerly winds moderate temperatures and limit deeper drops below 11°C. Recent station data show similar minima of 12–14°C amid 70–90% humidity and scattered showers, aligning with climatological August averages near 12°C. Model consensus and the absence of unusual high-pressure systems or cold-air advection explain why sub-10°C readings carry negligible implied probability while leaving the precise minimum sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 22 de agosto?
16°C o más 31%
11°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C o menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
28%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C o más
31%
16°C o más 31%
11°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C o menos
$20 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$1 Vol.
28%
15°C
$1 Vol.
28%
16°C o más
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to overnight lows of 11–14°C in Mexico City on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds across 11–16°C outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the highland location experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet August’s rainy-season cloud cover and light northerly winds moderate temperatures and limit deeper drops below 11°C. Recent station data show similar minima of 12–14°C amid 70–90% humidity and scattered showers, aligning with climatological August averages near 12°C. Model consensus and the absence of unusual high-pressure systems or cold-air advection explain why sub-10°C readings carry negligible implied probability while leaving the precise minimum sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volumen
$152Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to overnight lows of 11–14°C in Mexico City on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds across 11–16°C outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the highland location experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet August’s rainy-season cloud cover and light northerly winds moderate temperatures and limit deeper drops below 11°C. Recent station data show similar minima of 12–14°C amid 70–90% humidity and scattered showers, aligning with climatological August averages near 12°C. Model consensus and the absence of unusual high-pressure systems or cold-air advection explain why sub-10°C readings carry negligible implied probability while leaving the precise minimum sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$152Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to overnight lows of 11–14°C in Mexico City on August 22, consistent with the closely matched market odds across 11–16°C outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the highland location experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet August’s rainy-season cloud cover and light northerly winds moderate temperatures and limit deeper drops below 11°C. Recent station data show similar minima of 12–14°C amid 70–90% humidity and scattered showers, aligning with climatological August averages near 12°C. Model consensus and the absence of unusual high-pressure systems or cold-air advection explain why sub-10°C readings carry negligible implied probability while leaving the precise minimum sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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