Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 24 de agosto?
7°C o menos 96%
17°C o más 95%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
7°C o menos
96%
8°C
16%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C o más
95%
7°C o menos 96%
17°C o más 95%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
7°C o menos
96%
8°C
16%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C o más
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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