Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centers on 21–22°C, with market-implied odds of 34.5% and 42.5% respectively, reflecting closely matched ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models. A high-pressure system and easterly flow are the main drivers, promoting mostly clear skies, light winds, and modest daytime heating under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. These factors limit stronger warming while preventing significant cooling, though slight variations in model timing for any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between outcomes. Official guidance from KNMI and updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 24 de agosto?
22°C 43%
21°C 34%
20°C 11%
23°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
34%
22°C
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
1%
22°C 43%
21°C 34%
20°C 11%
23°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
17°C o menos
$164 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$21 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11 Vol.
3%
20°C
$348 Vol.
11%
21°C
$120 Vol.
34%
22°C
$356 Vol.
43%
23°C
$116 Vol.
10%
24°C
$19 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C o más
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centers on 21–22°C, with market-implied odds of 34.5% and 42.5% respectively, reflecting closely matched ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models. A high-pressure system and easterly flow are the main drivers, promoting mostly clear skies, light winds, and modest daytime heating under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. These factors limit stronger warming while preventing significant cooling, though slight variations in model timing for any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between outcomes. Official guidance from KNMI and updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,266Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centers on 21–22°C, with market-implied odds of 34.5% and 42.5% respectively, reflecting closely matched ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models. A high-pressure system and easterly flow are the main drivers, promoting mostly clear skies, light winds, and modest daytime heating under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. These factors limit stronger warming while preventing significant cooling, though slight variations in model timing for any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between outcomes. Official guidance from KNMI and updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,266Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24 centers on 21–22°C, with market-implied odds of 34.5% and 42.5% respectively, reflecting closely matched ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models. A high-pressure system and easterly flow are the main drivers, promoting mostly clear skies, light winds, and modest daytime heating under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. These factors limit stronger warming while preventing significant cooling, though slight variations in model timing for any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between outcomes. Official guidance from KNMI and updated short-range runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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