**Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds are sustaining above-average heat across South Florida, driving the market's concentration on 92–95°F for Miami's August 20 high.** Official National Weather Service point forecasts for Miami International Airport show a projected maximum of 94°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent daily highs of 93–97°F amid a heat wave that has produced heat indices above 110°F. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of ~91°F, reflecting minimal cloud cover and suppressed convection that allows strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and area forecast discussions indicate only modest afternoon thunderstorm chances, insufficient to significantly cap temperatures. The implied probabilities—over 87% combined on the 92–95°F bins—reflect traders' alignment with these stable, observation-backed conditions, tempered by typical short-term forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de agosto?
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
1%
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
83°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$332 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$143 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$64 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$95 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$243 Vol.
52%
94-95°F
$145 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$532 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$29 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
102°F o más
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds are sustaining above-average heat across South Florida, driving the market's concentration on 92–95°F for Miami's August 20 high.** Official National Weather Service point forecasts for Miami International Airport show a projected maximum of 94°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent daily highs of 93–97°F amid a heat wave that has produced heat indices above 110°F.
This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of ~91°F, reflecting minimal cloud cover and suppressed convection that allows strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and area forecast discussions indicate only modest afternoon thunderstorm chances, insufficient to significantly cap temperatures. The implied probabilities—over 87% combined on the 92–95°F bins—reflect traders' alignment with these stable, observation-backed conditions, tempered by typical short-term forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,775Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds are sustaining above-average heat across South Florida, driving the market's concentration on 92–95°F for Miami's August 20 high.** Official National Weather Service point forecasts for Miami International Airport show a projected maximum of 94°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent daily highs of 93–97°F amid a heat wave that has produced heat indices above 110°F.
This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of ~91°F, reflecting minimal cloud cover and suppressed convection that allows strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and area forecast discussions indicate only modest afternoon thunderstorm chances, insufficient to significantly cap temperatures. The implied probabilities—over 87% combined on the 92–95°F bins—reflect traders' alignment with these stable, observation-backed conditions, tempered by typical short-term forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,775Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds are sustaining above-average heat across South Florida, driving the market's concentration on 92–95°F for Miami's August 20 high.** Official National Weather Service point forecasts for Miami International Airport show a projected maximum of 94°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with recent daily highs of 93–97°F amid a heat wave that has produced heat indices above 110°F. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of ~91°F, reflecting minimal cloud cover and suppressed convection that allows strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and area forecast discussions indicate only modest afternoon thunderstorm chances, insufficient to significantly cap temperatures. The implied probabilities—over 87% combined on the 92–95°F bins—reflect traders' alignment with these stable, observation-backed conditions, tempered by typical short-term forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes