Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de agosto?
25°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,008 Vol.
$52,008 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,008 Vol.
$52,008 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes