Persistent marine layer conditions, currently 1,000–1,500 feet deep with slight deepening expected under troughing, are anchoring overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57°F at San Francisco International Airport. Onshore flow and coastal upwelling suppress radiative cooling, limiting the potential for readings below 56°F while preventing significant warming that would push minima into the low 60s. Recent National Weather Service discussions note near-normal temperatures persisting through the period with no strong offshore flow or subtropical ridge to alter the pattern, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 58–59°F and 56–57°F outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal spread ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 25 de agosto?
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 40%
60-61°F 26%
62-63°F 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
49°F o menos
15%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
52%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
2%
68°F o más
13%
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 40%
60-61°F 26%
62-63°F 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
49°F o menos
$5 Vol.
15%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
18%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
15%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
40%
58-59°F
$11 Vol.
52%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
2%
68°F o más
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, currently 1,000–1,500 feet deep with slight deepening expected under troughing, are anchoring overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57°F at San Francisco International Airport. Onshore flow and coastal upwelling suppress radiative cooling, limiting the potential for readings below 56°F while preventing significant warming that would push minima into the low 60s. Recent National Weather Service discussions note near-normal temperatures persisting through the period with no strong offshore flow or subtropical ridge to alter the pattern, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 58–59°F and 56–57°F outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal spread ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$31Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, currently 1,000–1,500 feet deep with slight deepening expected under troughing, are anchoring overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57°F at San Francisco International Airport. Onshore flow and coastal upwelling suppress radiative cooling, limiting the potential for readings below 56°F while preventing significant warming that would push minima into the low 60s. Recent National Weather Service discussions note near-normal temperatures persisting through the period with no strong offshore flow or subtropical ridge to alter the pattern, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 58–59°F and 56–57°F outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal spread ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions, currently 1,000–1,500 feet deep with slight deepening expected under troughing, are anchoring overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57°F at San Francisco International Airport. Onshore flow and coastal upwelling suppress radiative cooling, limiting the potential for readings below 56°F while preventing significant warming that would push minima into the low 60s. Recent National Weather Service discussions note near-normal temperatures persisting through the period with no strong offshore flow or subtropical ridge to alter the pattern, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 58–59°F and 56–57°F outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal spread ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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