Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 58-59°F as San Francisco’s lowest temperature on August 24, backed by National Weather Service station readings that recorded minimums squarely in this narrow band. Late-summer marine-layer patterns and typical diurnal cooling produced stable overnight lows without unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative effects that might have driven temperatures lower. Climatological baselines for the date place average lows near 55-60°F, aligning closely with observed data. Only an unforeseen station calibration change or post-hoc quality-control adjustment would realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 24 de agosto?
58-59°F 99%
56-57°F 1%
54-55°F <1%
49°F o menos <1%
$3,526 Vol.
$3,526 Vol.
24 ago 2026
49°F o menos
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
99%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F o más
<1%
58-59°F 99%
56-57°F 1%
54-55°F <1%
49°F o menos <1%
$3,526 Vol.
$3,526 Vol.
24 ago 2026
49°F o menos
$310 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$275 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$279 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$104 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$30 Vol.
15%
58-59°F
$290 Vol.
99%
60-61°F
$344 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$355 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$124 Vol.
<1%
68°F o más
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 58-59°F as San Francisco’s lowest temperature on August 24, backed by National Weather Service station readings that recorded minimums squarely in this narrow band. Late-summer marine-layer patterns and typical diurnal cooling produced stable overnight lows without unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative effects that might have driven temperatures lower. Climatological baselines for the date place average lows near 55-60°F, aligning closely with observed data. Only an unforeseen station calibration change or post-hoc quality-control adjustment would realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$3,526Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 58-59°F as San Francisco’s lowest temperature on August 24, backed by National Weather Service station readings that recorded minimums squarely in this narrow band. Late-summer marine-layer patterns and typical diurnal cooling produced stable overnight lows without unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative effects that might have driven temperatures lower. Climatological baselines for the date place average lows near 55-60°F, aligning closely with observed data. Only an unforeseen station calibration change or post-hoc quality-control adjustment would realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,526Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 58-59°F as San Francisco’s lowest temperature on August 24, backed by National Weather Service station readings that recorded minimums squarely in this narrow band. Late-summer marine-layer patterns and typical diurnal cooling produced stable overnight lows without unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative effects that might have driven temperatures lower. Climatological baselines for the date place average lows near 55-60°F, aligning closely with observed data. Only an unforeseen station calibration change or post-hoc quality-control adjustment would realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes