**Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service position 33°C as the most probable peak on August 25, with daily maxima expected between 33–34°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and lingering El Niño warmth.** Short-range models show afternoon highs near 32–33°C (about 90–92°F) before localized thundery showers develop, consistent with below-average rainfall and typical convective capping of daytime heating. Recent observations confirm elevated readings, with several days this month exceeding 34°C, while climatological August averages hover around 31.4°C. Traders' heavy weighting toward 33°C (48.5%) and 32°C (28%) reflects this narrow forecast range and low odds of extremes, though model updates on steering patterns or shower timing could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 25 de agosto?
33°C 52%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
52%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
52%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service position 33°C as the most probable peak on August 25, with daily maxima expected between 33–34°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and lingering El Niño warmth.** Short-range models show afternoon highs near 32–33°C (about 90–92°F) before localized thundery showers develop, consistent with below-average rainfall and typical convective capping of daytime heating. Recent observations confirm elevated readings, with several days this month exceeding 34°C, while climatological August averages hover around 31.4°C. Traders' heavy weighting toward 33°C (48.5%) and 32°C (28%) reflects this narrow forecast range and low odds of extremes, though model updates on steering patterns or shower timing could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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