**Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international sources project a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25, 2026, driven by northwesterly airflow ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure system.** These winds typically advect milder maritime air across the region, elevating daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Overcast skies expected on the day will limit solar heating, capping any upside potential, while minimal rainfall risk supports stable conditions. Recent model consensus over the past 48 hours has held steady near these values, with only minor run-to-run variability. The market’s slight tilt toward 16°C (50.5%) versus 15°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical precedent for occasional warmer spikes under similar synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 25 de agosto?
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 18%
14°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
31%
16°C
54%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 18%
14°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
10°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$32 Vol.
31%
16°C
$99 Vol.
54%
17°C
$77 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international sources project a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25, 2026, driven by northwesterly airflow ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure system.** These winds typically advect milder maritime air across the region, elevating daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Overcast skies expected on the day will limit solar heating, capping any upside potential, while minimal rainfall risk supports stable conditions. Recent model consensus over the past 48 hours has held steady near these values, with only minor run-to-run variability. The market’s slight tilt toward 16°C (50.5%) versus 15°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical precedent for occasional warmer spikes under similar synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$232Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international sources project a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25, 2026, driven by northwesterly airflow ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure system.** These winds typically advect milder maritime air across the region, elevating daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Overcast skies expected on the day will limit solar heating, capping any upside potential, while minimal rainfall risk supports stable conditions. Recent model consensus over the past 48 hours has held steady near these values, with only minor run-to-run variability. The market’s slight tilt toward 16°C (50.5%) versus 15°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical precedent for occasional warmer spikes under similar synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$232Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and international sources project a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25, 2026, driven by northwesterly airflow ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure system.** These winds typically advect milder maritime air across the region, elevating daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Overcast skies expected on the day will limit solar heating, capping any upside potential, while minimal rainfall risk supports stable conditions. Recent model consensus over the past 48 hours has held steady near these values, with only minor run-to-run variability. The market’s slight tilt toward 16°C (50.5%) versus 15°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical precedent for occasional warmer spikes under similar synoptic patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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