Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional automatic weather station readings indicate a minimum air temperature of 27°C for August 22, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough bringing scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Overnight observations at key sites, including the manned Hong Kong Observatory station, recorded lows near 27°C amid high humidity (70-95%) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent cloud cover. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and marine influence keep minimums elevated. The 98% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this consensus from verified measurements. A late-day model revision or localized microclimate anomaly producing an isolated reading below 26.5°C could theoretically shift resolution, though current data trends make such outcomes improbable before final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
27°C 98%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$32,660 Vol.
$32,660 Vol.
22 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superior
<1%
27°C 98%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$32,660 Vol.
$32,660 Vol.
22 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$760 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,051 Vol.
2%
26°C
$4,944 Vol.
2%
27°C
$6,937 Vol.
98%
28°C
$7,490 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,810 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$876 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superior
$516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional automatic weather station readings indicate a minimum air temperature of 27°C for August 22, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough bringing scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Overnight observations at key sites, including the manned Hong Kong Observatory station, recorded lows near 27°C amid high humidity (70-95%) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent cloud cover. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and marine influence keep minimums elevated. The 98% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this consensus from verified measurements. A late-day model revision or localized microclimate anomaly producing an isolated reading below 26.5°C could theoretically shift resolution, though current data trends make such outcomes improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$32,660Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional automatic weather station readings indicate a minimum air temperature of 27°C for August 22, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough bringing scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Overnight observations at key sites, including the manned Hong Kong Observatory station, recorded lows near 27°C amid high humidity (70-95%) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent cloud cover. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and marine influence keep minimums elevated. The 98% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this consensus from verified measurements. A late-day model revision or localized microclimate anomaly producing an isolated reading below 26.5°C could theoretically shift resolution, though current data trends make such outcomes improbable before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,660Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional automatic weather station readings indicate a minimum air temperature of 27°C for August 22, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough bringing scattered showers and southwesterly flow. Overnight observations at key sites, including the manned Hong Kong Observatory station, recorded lows near 27°C amid high humidity (70-95%) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent cloud cover. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and marine influence keep minimums elevated. The 98% market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this consensus from verified measurements. A late-day model revision or localized microclimate anomaly producing an isolated reading below 26.5°C could theoretically shift resolution, though current data trends make such outcomes improbable before final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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