Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 26, driven by light southerly winds advecting milder air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances limit full solar heating. Recent runs show modest spread, with some solutions favoring 26°C under partly cloudy skies and others slightly lower if showers arrive earlier. This aligns with the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between residual warmth and convective cooling. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current setup remains above average but far below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 26 de agosto?
26°C 34%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 26, driven by light southerly winds advecting milder air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances limit full solar heating. Recent runs show modest spread, with some solutions favoring 26°C under partly cloudy skies and others slightly lower if showers arrive earlier. This aligns with the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between residual warmth and convective cooling. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 22°C, so the current setup remains above average but far below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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