Latest Environment Canada and global model guidance point to a Toronto high near 24 °C on August 24, with modest cooling from increasing afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak readings. Late-August climatology places normal highs around 25 °C, yet current steering patterns and Lake Ontario’s thermal influence favor values clustered between 18–21 °C, explaining the tight market distribution among those bins. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective initiation, leaving room for 1–2 °C revisions before resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning, plus real-time observations from Pearson Airport, will provide the final calibration traders are monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 24 de agosto?
19°C 34%
20°C 30%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
34%
20°C
30%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 30%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
34%
20°C
30%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada and global model guidance point to a Toronto high near 24 °C on August 24, with modest cooling from increasing afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak readings. Late-August climatology places normal highs around 25 °C, yet current steering patterns and Lake Ontario’s thermal influence favor values clustered between 18–21 °C, explaining the tight market distribution among those bins. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective initiation, leaving room for 1–2 °C revisions before resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning, plus real-time observations from Pearson Airport, will provide the final calibration traders are monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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