Forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on August 23 around 13–17°C, driven by a westerly flow behind a frontal system, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages near 17°C provide context, but current conditions favor below-normal values amid persistent moisture and winds of 15–20 km/h. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-even odds on extremes above 20°C or below 10°C reflecting divergent model runs and the narrow window for resolution based on official daily minimum readings. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 23 de agosto?
10°C or below 79%
20°C or higher 79%
15°C 28%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
79%
11°C
5%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
79%
10°C or below 79%
20°C or higher 79%
15°C 28%
13°C 27%
10°C or below
79%
11°C
5%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on August 23 around 13–17°C, driven by a westerly flow behind a frontal system, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages near 17°C provide context, but current conditions favor below-normal values amid persistent moisture and winds of 15–20 km/h. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-even odds on extremes above 20°C or below 10°C reflecting divergent model runs and the narrow window for resolution based on official daily minimum readings. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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