Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show Mexico City's daily maximum temperature today aligning closely with late-August climatology at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and frequent convective clouds during the wet season moderate peak heating. Model runs point to a high near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects adding minor warming relative to rural stations. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes because historical records and current guidance indicate low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Afternoon station observations will finalize the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 26 de agosto?
25°C 47%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
$6,524 Vol.
$6,524 Vol.
26 ago 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
32%
25°C
47%
26°C
15%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
$6,524 Vol.
$6,524 Vol.
26 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$358 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$117 Vol.
1%
22°C
$349 Vol.
3%
23°C
$379 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,824 Vol.
32%
25°C
$2,244 Vol.
47%
26°C
$443 Vol.
15%
27°C
$294 Vol.
1%
28°C o más
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show Mexico City's daily maximum temperature today aligning closely with late-August climatology at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and frequent convective clouds during the wet season moderate peak heating. Model runs point to a high near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects adding minor warming relative to rural stations. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes because historical records and current guidance indicate low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Afternoon station observations will finalize the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$6,524Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show Mexico City's daily maximum temperature today aligning closely with late-August climatology at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and frequent convective clouds during the wet season moderate peak heating. Model runs point to a high near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects adding minor warming relative to rural stations. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes because historical records and current guidance indicate low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Afternoon station observations will finalize the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,524Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show Mexico City's daily maximum temperature today aligning closely with late-August climatology at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air and frequent convective clouds during the wet season moderate peak heating. Model runs point to a high near 24–25°C, with urban heat-island effects adding minor warming relative to rural stations. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these outcomes because historical records and current guidance indicate low likelihood of significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Afternoon station observations will finalize the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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