Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high of 24–27°C in Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies behind a cool Atlantic front that suppressed temperatures mid-week. Light southwesterly winds and high pressure should limit afternoon heating, keeping values well below the 30.6°C climatological average. Model spread remains modest but allows for 2–3°C variability tied to exact timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities tightly clustered across 22–32°C outcomes, traders reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de agosto?
27°C 44%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
20%
27°C
44%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 44%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$30 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$27 Vol.
20%
27°C
$53 Vol.
44%
28°C
$14 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high of 24–27°C in Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies behind a cool Atlantic front that suppressed temperatures mid-week. Light southwesterly winds and high pressure should limit afternoon heating, keeping values well below the 30.6°C climatological average. Model spread remains modest but allows for 2–3°C variability tied to exact timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities tightly clustered across 22–32°C outcomes, traders reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$124Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high of 24–27°C in Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies behind a cool Atlantic front that suppressed temperatures mid-week. Light southwesterly winds and high pressure should limit afternoon heating, keeping values well below the 30.6°C climatological average. Model spread remains modest but allows for 2–3°C variability tied to exact timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities tightly clustered across 22–32°C outcomes, traders reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$124Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a high of 24–27°C in Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies behind a cool Atlantic front that suppressed temperatures mid-week. Light southwesterly winds and high pressure should limit afternoon heating, keeping values well below the 30.6°C climatological average. Model spread remains modest but allows for 2–3°C variability tied to exact timing of clearing and boundary-layer mixing. With probabilities tightly clustered across 22–32°C outcomes, traders reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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