Recent forecasts from Chongqing's meteorological authorities highlight the subtropical high's lingering influence alongside moisture from typhoon "Zitan" and "Jianlawei" remnants, expected to deliver scattered showers and thunderstorms across parts of the city on August 28. This setup introduces key uncertainty: variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress peak solar heating and lower maximum temperatures by 1–3°C compared to clearer days earlier in the week. Numerical models diverge on convective intensity and steering flow, producing a narrow range of outcomes clustered around 35–37°C. Traders weigh official guidance projecting center-city highs near 37°C against higher rain probabilities that favor slightly cooler peaks, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of afternoon convection.