Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
21°C or below
$23 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$165 Vol.
15%
26°C
$55 Vol.
25%
27°C
$150 Vol.
40%
28°C
$18 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$466Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$466Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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