Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European centers indicate Munich's overnight low around August 26 will likely range from 15–17°C, consistent with the seasonal average near 13°C, amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following a cooler late-August pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 8°C or below at 49% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from recent temperature volatility—including a 7.5°C minimum on August 23—and potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clear conditions or model revisions. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official observations will clarify whether an atypical cold advection or radiational cooling shifts outcomes toward the lower bins clustered around 10–13°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
8°C or below 69%
13°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
29%
10°C
21%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
48%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
2%
8°C or below 69%
13°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
9°C
$0 Vol.
29%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
36%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European centers indicate Munich's overnight low around August 26 will likely range from 15–17°C, consistent with the seasonal average near 13°C, amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following a cooler late-August pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 8°C or below at 49% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from recent temperature volatility—including a 7.5°C minimum on August 23—and potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clear conditions or model revisions. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official observations will clarify whether an atypical cold advection or radiational cooling shifts outcomes toward the lower bins clustered around 10–13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European centers indicate Munich's overnight low around August 26 will likely range from 15–17°C, consistent with the seasonal average near 13°C, amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following a cooler late-August pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 8°C or below at 49% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from recent temperature volatility—including a 7.5°C minimum on August 23—and potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clear conditions or model revisions. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official observations will clarify whether an atypical cold advection or radiational cooling shifts outcomes toward the lower bins clustered around 10–13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and European centers indicate Munich's overnight low around August 26 will likely range from 15–17°C, consistent with the seasonal average near 13°C, amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following a cooler late-August pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 8°C or below at 49% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty from recent temperature volatility—including a 7.5°C minimum on August 23—and potential for faster nocturnal cooling under clear conditions or model revisions. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official observations will clarify whether an atypical cold advection or radiational cooling shifts outcomes toward the lower bins clustered around 10–13°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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