Forecast models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 12–13°C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover during the rainy season. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit mixing and heat loss, keeping temperatures above the 9–11°C range seen in clearer conditions, while scattered storms and thick clouds prevent sharper drops to 15°C or higher. Trader clustering around 12–15°C outcomes stems from minor model differences in cloud timing and wind patterns that alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Official station data and updated runs will resolve the exact value by morning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 26 de agosto?
9°C o menos 94%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
11°C 49%
9°C o menos
94%
10°C
42%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C o más
<1%
9°C o menos 94%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
11°C 49%
9°C o menos
94%
10°C
42%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 12–13°C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation and typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover during the rainy season. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit mixing and heat loss, keeping temperatures above the 9–11°C range seen in clearer conditions, while scattered storms and thick clouds prevent sharper drops to 15°C or higher. Trader clustering around 12–15°C outcomes stems from minor model differences in cloud timing and wind patterns that alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Official station data and updated runs will resolve the exact value by morning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes