Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 30 de agosto?
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
11%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–33°C, with model consensus around 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected from regional moisture in the Sichuan Basin are moderating peak solar heating and surface temperatures, consistent with late-August climatology showing declining highs after midsummer peaks. Minor differences in model runs for timing and extent of afternoon convection explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values, as even small variations in insolation or rainfall could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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