Trader sentiment centers on 31–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 30 maximum, reflecting current ensemble forecasts that show typical late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity limit surface heating, while convective activity can reduce peak temperatures by 1–2°C through diminished insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting 30–33°C ranges depending on exact storm placement. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability remains high this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
25°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$190 Vol.
1%
28°C
$131 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$36 Vol.
20%
31°C
$69 Vol.
31%
32°C
$55 Vol.
33%
33°C
$7 Vol.
12%
34°C
$145 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on 31–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 30 maximum, reflecting current ensemble forecasts that show typical late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity limit surface heating, while convective activity can reduce peak temperatures by 1–2°C through diminished insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting 30–33°C ranges depending on exact storm placement. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability remains high this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$793Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on 31–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 30 maximum, reflecting current ensemble forecasts that show typical late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity limit surface heating, while convective activity can reduce peak temperatures by 1–2°C through diminished insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting 30–33°C ranges depending on exact storm placement. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability remains high this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$793Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on 31–32°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 30 maximum, reflecting current ensemble forecasts that show typical late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity limit surface heating, while convective activity can reduce peak temperatures by 1–2°C through diminished insolation and evaporative cooling. Minor model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting 30–33°C ranges depending on exact storm placement. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability remains high this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes