Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta on August 30, moderating daytime heating and capping the maximum near 31–33 °C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 32 °C (22 %), 34 °C (21.5 %), and 33 °C (21 %) outcomes. Traders are weighing the precise timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 34 °C, versus earlier or more widespread rain keeping readings closer to the seasonal average of 33 °C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 30 de agosto?
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
36°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
10%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C
14%
37°C o más
<1%
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
36°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$50 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$83 Vol.
4%
30°C
$7 Vol.
7%
31°C
$23 Vol.
10%
32°C
$49 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
22%
35°C
$99 Vol.
7%
36°C
$5 Vol.
14%
37°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta on August 30, moderating daytime heating and capping the maximum near 31–33 °C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 32 °C (22 %), 34 °C (21.5 %), and 33 °C (21 %) outcomes. Traders are weighing the precise timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 34 °C, versus earlier or more widespread rain keeping readings closer to the seasonal average of 33 °C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$707Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta on August 30, moderating daytime heating and capping the maximum near 31–33 °C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 32 °C (22 %), 34 °C (21.5 %), and 33 °C (21 %) outcomes. Traders are weighing the precise timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 34 °C, versus earlier or more widespread rain keeping readings closer to the seasonal average of 33 °C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$707Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta on August 30, moderating daytime heating and capping the maximum near 31–33 °C. These conditions align with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 32 °C (22 %), 34 °C (21.5 %), and 33 °C (21 %) outcomes. Traders are weighing the precise timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 34 °C, versus earlier or more widespread rain keeping readings closer to the seasonal average of 33 °C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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