The closely matched odds around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s August 30 minimum reflect modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 24–26°C limiting the diurnal range, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly clearer skies to produce a marginally cooler reading. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but any strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high or weak frontal passage would favor the upper end of the favored band; traders appear to be weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and local station trends most heavily ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 30 de agosto?
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$19 Vol.
29%
28°C
$16 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched odds around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s August 30 minimum reflect modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 24–26°C limiting the diurnal range, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly clearer skies to produce a marginally cooler reading. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but any strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high or weak frontal passage would favor the upper end of the favored band; traders appear to be weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and local station trends most heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$97Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched odds around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s August 30 minimum reflect modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 24–26°C limiting the diurnal range, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly clearer skies to produce a marginally cooler reading. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but any strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high or weak frontal passage would favor the upper end of the favored band; traders appear to be weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and local station trends most heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$97Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds around 25–27°C for Guangzhou’s August 30 minimum reflect modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a warm, humid airmass with dew points near 24–26°C limiting the diurnal range, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly clearer skies to produce a marginally cooler reading. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but any strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high or weak frontal passage would favor the upper end of the favored band; traders appear to be weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and local station trends most heavily ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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