Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates a southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air across northern France, with extensive cloud cover and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap the daily maximum near 23–24 °C on August 29. Model runs show modest spread in the timing of any brief clearing or wind gusts that could allow an extra degree or two of surface heating, while climatological norms for late August hover around 24 °C. This narrow scientific uncertainty, combined with the absence of a strong ridge or heat advection, underpins trader consensus clustered on 22–24 °C outcomes while assigning only modest probability to 25 °C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de agosto?
23°C 35%
24°C 27%
22°C 21%
25°C or higher 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
21%
23°C
35%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
17%
23°C 35%
24°C 27%
22°C 21%
25°C or higher 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,056 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$19 Vol.
3%
21°C
$15 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
21%
23°C
$17 Vol.
35%
24°C
$71 Vol.
27%
25°C or higher
$75 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates a southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air across northern France, with extensive cloud cover and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap the daily maximum near 23–24 °C on August 29. Model runs show modest spread in the timing of any brief clearing or wind gusts that could allow an extra degree or two of surface heating, while climatological norms for late August hover around 24 °C. This narrow scientific uncertainty, combined with the absence of a strong ridge or heat advection, underpins trader consensus clustered on 22–24 °C outcomes while assigning only modest probability to 25 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,919Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates a southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air across northern France, with extensive cloud cover and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap the daily maximum near 23–24 °C on August 29. Model runs show modest spread in the timing of any brief clearing or wind gusts that could allow an extra degree or two of surface heating, while climatological norms for late August hover around 24 °C. This narrow scientific uncertainty, combined with the absence of a strong ridge or heat advection, underpins trader consensus clustered on 22–24 °C outcomes while assigning only modest probability to 25 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,919Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates a southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air across northern France, with extensive cloud cover and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap the daily maximum near 23–24 °C on August 29. Model runs show modest spread in the timing of any brief clearing or wind gusts that could allow an extra degree or two of surface heating, while climatological norms for late August hover around 24 °C. This narrow scientific uncertainty, combined with the absence of a strong ridge or heat advection, underpins trader consensus clustered on 22–24 °C outcomes while assigning only modest probability to 25 °C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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