Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place Paris daytime highs near 26–27°C on August 27, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe combined with moderating Atlantic flow has limited further warming, while soil moisture and urban heat island effects add local variability. Model spreads remain modest but include slight disagreements on the timing of a possible weak front, creating the observed probability distribution across 25–28°C. Traders weigh these runs against climatological late-August normals near 25°C as new model cycles and observational updates arrive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 27 de agosto?
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
20°C or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
1%
24°C
$459 Vol.
5%
25°C
$988 Vol.
17%
26°C
$606 Vol.
24%
27°C
$457 Vol.
31%
28°C
$1,123 Vol.
19%
29°C
$526 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$279 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place Paris daytime highs near 26–27°C on August 27, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe combined with moderating Atlantic flow has limited further warming, while soil moisture and urban heat island effects add local variability. Model spreads remain modest but include slight disagreements on the timing of a possible weak front, creating the observed probability distribution across 25–28°C. Traders weigh these runs against climatological late-August normals near 25°C as new model cycles and observational updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,985Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place Paris daytime highs near 26–27°C on August 27, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe combined with moderating Atlantic flow has limited further warming, while soil moisture and urban heat island effects add local variability. Model spreads remain modest but include slight disagreements on the timing of a possible weak front, creating the observed probability distribution across 25–28°C. Traders weigh these runs against climatological late-August normals near 25°C as new model cycles and observational updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,985Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France place Paris daytime highs near 26–27°C on August 27, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe combined with moderating Atlantic flow has limited further warming, while soil moisture and urban heat island effects add local variability. Model spreads remain modest but include slight disagreements on the timing of a possible weak front, creating the observed probability distribution across 25–28°C. Traders weigh these runs against climatological late-August normals near 25°C as new model cycles and observational updates arrive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes