Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, will reach 19°C near dawn, supported by 76% market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 14°C. Early-morning observations near 19–20°C and consensus model runs projecting a floor of 17–19°C reinforce trader positioning on 19°C as the resolution threshold, with only modest downside risk to 18°C if clearer skies develop later.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 27 de agosto?
19°C 55%
18°C 40%
17°C 9%
16°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
22%
19°C
76%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
19°C 55%
18°C 40%
17°C 9%
16°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$108 Vol.
9%
18°C
$569 Vol.
22%
19°C
$535 Vol.
76%
20°C
$1,949 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,935 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, will reach 19°C near dawn, supported by 76% market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 14°C. Early-morning observations near 19–20°C and consensus model runs projecting a floor of 17–19°C reinforce trader positioning on 19°C as the resolution threshold, with only modest downside risk to 18°C if clearer skies develop later.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$9,444Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, will reach 19°C near dawn, supported by 76% market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 14°C. Early-morning observations near 19–20°C and consensus model runs projecting a floor of 17–19°C reinforce trader positioning on 19°C as the resolution threshold, with only modest downside risk to 18°C if clearer skies develop later.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,444Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the minimum temperature in Paris on August 27, 2026, will reach 19°C near dawn, supported by 76% market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings above the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 14°C. Early-morning observations near 19–20°C and consensus model runs projecting a floor of 17–19°C reinforce trader positioning on 19°C as the resolution threshold, with only modest downside risk to 18°C if clearer skies develop later.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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