Current forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show a trough and increased cloud cover bringing cooler maritime air into northern France, positioning the overnight minimum in Paris near 16°C on August 29 amid light rain and suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Recent jet-stream shifts have already lowered temperatures from mid-August peaks, though residual warmth keeps 21°C-or-higher at 34.5%. Historical climatology places the date's average low at 13.5°C, yet the current pattern favors values above that baseline. Updated model runs through August 28 will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 29 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 29 de agosto?
15°C 47%
16°C 45%
14°C 38%
18°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
11°C o menos
7%
12°C
13%
13°C
19%
14°C
38%
15°C
47%
16°C
45%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
8%
21°C o más
2%
15°C 47%
16°C 45%
14°C 38%
18°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show a trough and increased cloud cover bringing cooler maritime air into northern France, positioning the overnight minimum in Paris near 16°C on August 29 amid light rain and suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Recent jet-stream shifts have already lowered temperatures from mid-August peaks, though residual warmth keeps 21°C-or-higher at 34.5%. Historical climatology places the date's average low at 13.5°C, yet the current pattern favors values above that baseline. Updated model runs through August 28 will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show a trough and increased cloud cover bringing cooler maritime air into northern France, positioning the overnight minimum in Paris near 16°C on August 29 amid light rain and suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Recent jet-stream shifts have already lowered temperatures from mid-August peaks, though residual warmth keeps 21°C-or-higher at 34.5%. Historical climatology places the date's average low at 13.5°C, yet the current pattern favors values above that baseline. Updated model runs through August 28 will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show a trough and increased cloud cover bringing cooler maritime air into northern France, positioning the overnight minimum in Paris near 16°C on August 29 amid light rain and suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Recent jet-stream shifts have already lowered temperatures from mid-August peaks, though residual warmth keeps 21°C-or-higher at 34.5%. Historical climatology places the date's average low at 13.5°C, yet the current pattern favors values above that baseline. Updated model runs through August 28 will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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