Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Wuhan will see a transition from prolonged post-sanfu heat, with August 29 featuring increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit peak solar insolation. This yields model consensus for a daytime maximum near 32–34 °C, directly supporting the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Precipitation and enhanced mixing reduce the likelihood of exceeding 35 °C while also preventing a sharper drop below 31 °C, leaving uncertainty centered on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders are weighting the primary catalyst—an approaching typhoon-related trough—against historical late-August climatology for the Yangtze basin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 29 de agosto?
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
18%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
27°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$109 Vol.
2%
29°C
$23 Vol.
3%
30°C
$41 Vol.
7%
31°C
$287 Vol.
18%
32°C
$162 Vol.
26%
33°C
$93 Vol.
28%
34°C
$265 Vol.
10%
35°C
$75 Vol.
7%
36°C
$148 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Wuhan will see a transition from prolonged post-sanfu heat, with August 29 featuring increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit peak solar insolation. This yields model consensus for a daytime maximum near 32–34 °C, directly supporting the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Precipitation and enhanced mixing reduce the likelihood of exceeding 35 °C while also preventing a sharper drop below 31 °C, leaving uncertainty centered on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders are weighting the primary catalyst—an approaching typhoon-related trough—against historical late-August climatology for the Yangtze basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,396Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Wuhan will see a transition from prolonged post-sanfu heat, with August 29 featuring increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit peak solar insolation. This yields model consensus for a daytime maximum near 32–34 °C, directly supporting the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Precipitation and enhanced mixing reduce the likelihood of exceeding 35 °C while also preventing a sharper drop below 31 °C, leaving uncertainty centered on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders are weighting the primary catalyst—an approaching typhoon-related trough—against historical late-August climatology for the Yangtze basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,396Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Wuhan will see a transition from prolonged post-sanfu heat, with August 29 featuring increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit peak solar insolation. This yields model consensus for a daytime maximum near 32–34 °C, directly supporting the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. Precipitation and enhanced mixing reduce the likelihood of exceeding 35 °C while also preventing a sharper drop below 31 °C, leaving uncertainty centered on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders are weighting the primary catalyst—an approaching typhoon-related trough—against historical late-August climatology for the Yangtze basin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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