San Francisco's coastal marine layer and prevailing westerly winds typically moderate overnight lows to the mid-50s°F in late August, aligning with the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F for the date. Official forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate highs in the mid-60s under sunny conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies overnight, with lows settling near 55°F amid 10–20 mph winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup produces high market-implied odds for a 56–57°F minimum, while the low probability assigned to 49°F or below reflects the unlikelihood of stronger onshore flow or unusual clearing that would allow deeper cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, supporting trader focus on the narrow 56–57°F range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 29 de agosto?
56-57°F 98%
49°F o menos 86%
54-55°F 47%
52-53°F 25%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
29 ago 2026
49°F o menos
86%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
90%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F o más
<1%
56-57°F 98%
49°F o menos 86%
54-55°F 47%
52-53°F 25%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
29 ago 2026
49°F o menos
$82 Vol.
86%
50-51°F
$50 Vol.
15%
52-53°F
$51 Vol.
25%
54-55°F
$32 Vol.
47%
56-57°F
$290 Vol.
90%
58-59°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$103 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
68°F o más
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's coastal marine layer and prevailing westerly winds typically moderate overnight lows to the mid-50s°F in late August, aligning with the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F for the date. Official forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate highs in the mid-60s under sunny conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies overnight, with lows settling near 55°F amid 10–20 mph winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup produces high market-implied odds for a 56–57°F minimum, while the low probability assigned to 49°F or below reflects the unlikelihood of stronger onshore flow or unusual clearing that would allow deeper cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, supporting trader focus on the narrow 56–57°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,358Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's coastal marine layer and prevailing westerly winds typically moderate overnight lows to the mid-50s°F in late August, aligning with the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F for the date. Official forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate highs in the mid-60s under sunny conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies overnight, with lows settling near 55°F amid 10–20 mph winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup produces high market-implied odds for a 56–57°F minimum, while the low probability assigned to 49°F or below reflects the unlikelihood of stronger onshore flow or unusual clearing that would allow deeper cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, supporting trader focus on the narrow 56–57°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,358Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...San Francisco's coastal marine layer and prevailing westerly winds typically moderate overnight lows to the mid-50s°F in late August, aligning with the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F for the date. Official forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate highs in the mid-60s under sunny conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies overnight, with lows settling near 55°F amid 10–20 mph winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup produces high market-implied odds for a 56–57°F minimum, while the low probability assigned to 49°F or below reflects the unlikelihood of stronger onshore flow or unusual clearing that would allow deeper cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, supporting trader focus on the narrow 56–57°F range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes