Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cooling influence from persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds on August 30, suppressing typical late-August maxima near 30–31°C and favoring highs of 27–28°C. These conditions follow heavier precipitation on August 29 that increased soil moisture and reduced solar heating. The tight spread between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects minor differences in timing of cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects across observational sites. Historical climatology places late-August Tokyo highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture advection have shifted probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
27°C 30%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 30%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$50 Vol.
1%
24°C
$9 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
6%
26°C
$7 Vol.
19%
27°C
$65 Vol.
30%
28°C
$94 Vol.
25%
29°C
$12 Vol.
10%
30°C
$108 Vol.
5%
31°C
$8 Vol.
3%
32°C
$80 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cooling influence from persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds on August 30, suppressing typical late-August maxima near 30–31°C and favoring highs of 27–28°C. These conditions follow heavier precipitation on August 29 that increased soil moisture and reduced solar heating. The tight spread between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects minor differences in timing of cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects across observational sites. Historical climatology places late-August Tokyo highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture advection have shifted probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$732Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cooling influence from persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds on August 30, suppressing typical late-August maxima near 30–31°C and favoring highs of 27–28°C. These conditions follow heavier precipitation on August 29 that increased soil moisture and reduced solar heating. The tight spread between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects minor differences in timing of cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects across observational sites. Historical climatology places late-August Tokyo highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture advection have shifted probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$732Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cooling influence from persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds on August 30, suppressing typical late-August maxima near 30–31°C and favoring highs of 27–28°C. These conditions follow heavier precipitation on August 29 that increased soil moisture and reduced solar heating. The tight spread between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects minor differences in timing of cloud breaks and urban heat-island effects across observational sites. Historical climatology places late-August Tokyo highs near 30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture advection have shifted probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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