Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 65°F in San Francisco on August 29, driven by a deepening Pacific trough that has strengthened onshore flow and the marine layer since late August. This pattern has produced breezy west-to-northwest winds of 10–20 mph with gusts to 30 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite partly cloudy skies and only trace shower chances. Trader positioning clusters around the 66–69°F bins because small differences in the exact timing of stratus clearance or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, while climatological late-August normals near 69°F provide a reference point. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 29 de agosto?
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 31%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o menos
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76°F o más
1%
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 31%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$11 Vol.
14%
66-67°F
$236 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$3 Vol.
33%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 65°F in San Francisco on August 29, driven by a deepening Pacific trough that has strengthened onshore flow and the marine layer since late August. This pattern has produced breezy west-to-northwest winds of 10–20 mph with gusts to 30 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite partly cloudy skies and only trace shower chances. Trader positioning clusters around the 66–69°F bins because small differences in the exact timing of stratus clearance or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, while climatological late-August normals near 69°F provide a reference point. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 65°F in San Francisco on August 29, driven by a deepening Pacific trough that has strengthened onshore flow and the marine layer since late August. This pattern has produced breezy west-to-northwest winds of 10–20 mph with gusts to 30 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite partly cloudy skies and only trace shower chances. Trader positioning clusters around the 66–69°F bins because small differences in the exact timing of stratus clearance or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, while climatological late-August normals near 69°F provide a reference point. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 65°F in San Francisco on August 29, driven by a deepening Pacific trough that has strengthened onshore flow and the marine layer since late August. This pattern has produced breezy west-to-northwest winds of 10–20 mph with gusts to 30 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite partly cloudy skies and only trace shower chances. Trader positioning clusters around the 66–69°F bins because small differences in the exact timing of stratus clearance or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, while climatological late-August normals near 69°F provide a reference point. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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