**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and sunny intervals that could briefly boost temperatures.** This setup, influenced by lingering low-pressure influences and seasonal warmth, creates tight uncertainty around the daily peak: greater cloud cover or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 32°C, while stronger solar heating during clearer spells supports 33–34°C. High humidity (65–95%) amplifies the heat index but does not directly affect the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Historical August averages near 31°C and recent model consensus favor the narrow 32–33°C band currently priced highest by traders, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any convective activity and official Observatory readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 29 de agosto?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum of 28–33°C on August 29 under a southwesterly airstream, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers or thunderstorms, and sunny intervals that could briefly boost temperatures.** This setup, influenced by lingering low-pressure influences and seasonal warmth, creates tight uncertainty around the daily peak: greater cloud cover or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 32°C, while stronger solar heating during clearer spells supports 33–34°C. High humidity (65–95%) amplifies the heat index but does not directly affect the dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Historical August averages near 31°C and recent model consensus favor the narrow 32–33°C band currently priced highest by traders, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any convective activity and official Observatory readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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