Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a high near 16–18°C for Buenos Aires on August 31 under easterly flow and variable cloud cover, close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 17°C. Trader consensus favoring 19–21°C at combined implied probabilities exceeding 95% reflects modest upward bias from ensemble spread, where clearer afternoon conditions or slight model warming could push the daily maximum 1–3°C above baseline guidance. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks, dew point recovery to around 11–12°C, and light winds that limit mixing, all of which introduce uncertainty resolvable by updated runs in the next 24–48 hours.