The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila on August 29, with PAGASA forecasting a maximum of 25–27°C amid persistent moderate-to-heavy rains, thick cloud cover, and strong southwesterly winds that limit solar heating. Recent official outlooks and model guidance consistently show this pattern continuing from the prior day’s observed 31°C peak, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. Model runs indicate limited upside potential for 30°C or higher unless monsoon rainfall eases sooner than expected, while the narrow spread between 27°C and 29°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the clearest near-term signals ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 29 de agosto?
29°C 44%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
44%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$301 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$194 Vol.
2%
26°C
$91 Vol.
4%
27°C
$663 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,860 Vol.
31%
29°C
$956 Vol.
44%
30°C
$521 Vol.
16%
31°C
$202 Vol.
4%
32°C
$238 Vol.
1%
33°C o más
$375 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila on August 29, with PAGASA forecasting a maximum of 25–27°C amid persistent moderate-to-heavy rains, thick cloud cover, and strong southwesterly winds that limit solar heating. Recent official outlooks and model guidance consistently show this pattern continuing from the prior day’s observed 31°C peak, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. Model runs indicate limited upside potential for 30°C or higher unless monsoon rainfall eases sooner than expected, while the narrow spread between 27°C and 29°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the clearest near-term signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$5,703Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila on August 29, with PAGASA forecasting a maximum of 25–27°C amid persistent moderate-to-heavy rains, thick cloud cover, and strong southwesterly winds that limit solar heating. Recent official outlooks and model guidance consistently show this pattern continuing from the prior day’s observed 31°C peak, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. Model runs indicate limited upside potential for 30°C or higher unless monsoon rainfall eases sooner than expected, while the narrow spread between 27°C and 29°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the clearest near-term signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,703Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila on August 29, with PAGASA forecasting a maximum of 25–27°C amid persistent moderate-to-heavy rains, thick cloud cover, and strong southwesterly winds that limit solar heating. Recent official outlooks and model guidance consistently show this pattern continuing from the prior day’s observed 31°C peak, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. Model runs indicate limited upside potential for 30°C or higher unless monsoon rainfall eases sooner than expected, while the narrow spread between 27°C and 29°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes. Updated PAGASA bulletins and next model cycles will provide the clearest near-term signals ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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