Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 29 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 29 de agosto?
31°C o más 55%
28°C 49%
29°C 43%
26°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
21°C o menos
8%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
43%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
55%
31°C o más 55%
28°C 49%
29°C 43%
26°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$135 Vol.
8%
22°C
$54 Vol.
5%
23°C
$34 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$145 Vol.
43%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$5 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$383Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$383Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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