Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a daily maximum near 32°C in Shanghai for August 30, with light rain or showers and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This positions 32°C as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized sea-breeze effects keeps 31°C and 33°C viable at 20.5% and 16.5%. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–33°C under similar monsoon patterns, with no strong signals for extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the 29th will refine resolution criteria ahead of the Sunday peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 30 de agosto?
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
$53 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$120 Vol.
4%
31°C
$224 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,019 Vol.
57%
33°C
$194 Vol.
17%
34°C
$80 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a daily maximum near 32°C in Shanghai for August 30, with light rain or showers and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This positions 32°C as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized sea-breeze effects keeps 31°C and 33°C viable at 20.5% and 16.5%. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–33°C under similar monsoon patterns, with no strong signals for extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the 29th will refine resolution criteria ahead of the Sunday peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,061Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a daily maximum near 32°C in Shanghai for August 30, with light rain or showers and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This positions 32°C as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized sea-breeze effects keeps 31°C and 33°C viable at 20.5% and 16.5%. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–33°C under similar monsoon patterns, with no strong signals for extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the 29th will refine resolution criteria ahead of the Sunday peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,061Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a daily maximum near 32°C in Shanghai for August 30, with light rain or showers and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This positions 32°C as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized sea-breeze effects keeps 31°C and 33°C viable at 20.5% and 16.5%. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 30–33°C under similar monsoon patterns, with no strong signals for extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the 29th will refine resolution criteria ahead of the Sunday peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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