**Forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to a peak temperature of 31°C in Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-August climatology in coastal Karachi typically features daytime highs near 31°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity (often 65–85%) and moderate westerly winds from the Arabian Sea moderating extremes through sea-breeze effects and cloud cover. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, UK Met Office, and ensemble guidance, project a high of 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk and sustained winds of 15–20 mph, which limits surface heating. Recent observations show Karachi reaching 32°C on August 27 amid persistently hot, humid weather, but no intensification signals or clearer-sky trends appear in the latest runs that would favor 32°C or higher (combined ~33.5% probability). Lower outcomes like 30°C (13%) remain possible if thicker cloud cover develops, while 33°C+ carries low odds given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat-wave indicators. Traders appear to weight official PMD guidance and model agreement heavily, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from authorized stations. Minor forecast revisions before resolution could still shift positioning between the 31°C and 32°C bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 29 de agosto?
31°C 53%
32°C 30%
30°C 13%
33°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
53%
32°C
30%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 30%
30°C 13%
33°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$270 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$91 Vol.
1%
29°C
$6 Vol.
3%
30°C
$960 Vol.
13%
31°C
$571 Vol.
53%
32°C
$383 Vol.
30%
33°C
$19 Vol.
4%
34°C
$4 Vol.
2%
35°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to a peak temperature of 31°C in Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
Late-August climatology in coastal Karachi typically features daytime highs near 31°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity (often 65–85%) and moderate westerly winds from the Arabian Sea moderating extremes through sea-breeze effects and cloud cover. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, UK Met Office, and ensemble guidance, project a high of 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk and sustained winds of 15–20 mph, which limits surface heating. Recent observations show Karachi reaching 32°C on August 27 amid persistently hot, humid weather, but no intensification signals or clearer-sky trends appear in the latest runs that would favor 32°C or higher (combined ~33.5% probability).
Lower outcomes like 30°C (13%) remain possible if thicker cloud cover develops, while 33°C+ carries low odds given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat-wave indicators. Traders appear to weight official PMD guidance and model agreement heavily, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from authorized stations. Minor forecast revisions before resolution could still shift positioning between the 31°C and 32°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,807Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to a peak temperature of 31°C in Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
Late-August climatology in coastal Karachi typically features daytime highs near 31°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity (often 65–85%) and moderate westerly winds from the Arabian Sea moderating extremes through sea-breeze effects and cloud cover. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, UK Met Office, and ensemble guidance, project a high of 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk and sustained winds of 15–20 mph, which limits surface heating. Recent observations show Karachi reaching 32°C on August 27 amid persistently hot, humid weather, but no intensification signals or clearer-sky trends appear in the latest runs that would favor 32°C or higher (combined ~33.5% probability).
Lower outcomes like 30°C (13%) remain possible if thicker cloud cover develops, while 33°C+ carries low odds given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat-wave indicators. Traders appear to weight official PMD guidance and model agreement heavily, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from authorized stations. Minor forecast revisions before resolution could still shift positioning between the 31°C and 32°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,807Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to a peak temperature of 31°C in Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-August climatology in coastal Karachi typically features daytime highs near 31°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity (often 65–85%) and moderate westerly winds from the Arabian Sea moderating extremes through sea-breeze effects and cloud cover. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, UK Met Office, and ensemble guidance, project a high of 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk and sustained winds of 15–20 mph, which limits surface heating. Recent observations show Karachi reaching 32°C on August 27 amid persistently hot, humid weather, but no intensification signals or clearer-sky trends appear in the latest runs that would favor 32°C or higher (combined ~33.5% probability). Lower outcomes like 30°C (13%) remain possible if thicker cloud cover develops, while 33°C+ carries low odds given the stable steering pattern and lack of heat-wave indicators. Traders appear to weight official PMD guidance and model agreement heavily, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from authorized stations. Minor forecast revisions before resolution could still shift positioning between the 31°C and 32°C bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes