Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered rainfall through August 30, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and anchor minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. In this subtropical climate, thick cloud decks and elevated dew points suppress the typical 3–5°C diurnal drop, while light southerly winds and urban heat retention further moderate lows. Model consensus on precipitation timing and exact cloud breaks creates tight clustering around the leading outcomes, with clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C or sustained cover holding near 26–27°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
25°C 74%
30°C 49%
24°C 48%
29°C 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
16%
24°C
48%
25°C
74%
26°C
44%
27°C
33%
28°C
26%
29°C
48%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
14%
25°C 74%
30°C 49%
24°C 48%
29°C 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$6 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
74%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered rainfall through August 30, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and anchor minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. In this subtropical climate, thick cloud decks and elevated dew points suppress the typical 3–5°C diurnal drop, while light southerly winds and urban heat retention further moderate lows. Model consensus on precipitation timing and exact cloud breaks creates tight clustering around the leading outcomes, with clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C or sustained cover holding near 26–27°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered rainfall through August 30, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and anchor minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. In this subtropical climate, thick cloud decks and elevated dew points suppress the typical 3–5°C diurnal drop, while light southerly winds and urban heat retention further moderate lows. Model consensus on precipitation timing and exact cloud breaks creates tight clustering around the leading outcomes, with clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C or sustained cover holding near 26–27°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered rainfall through August 30, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and anchor minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. In this subtropical climate, thick cloud decks and elevated dew points suppress the typical 3–5°C diurnal drop, while light southerly winds and urban heat retention further moderate lows. Model consensus on precipitation timing and exact cloud breaks creates tight clustering around the leading outcomes, with clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C or sustained cover holding near 26–27°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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