Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest probability of peak temperatures in the 25–27°C range for Milan on August 20, driven by increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon thundery showers or cloud cover that could limit insolation and suppress the daily maximum. The Po Valley’s typical summer high-pressure setup favors warm conditions, but subtle differences in convective timing and low-level humidity introduce spread across guidance, with historical August maxima near 28–30°C providing context for the downside risk. Market-implied odds clustering around 26°C reflect traders’ assessment of these meteorological variables and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 20 de agosto?
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
20 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
12%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
20 ago 2026
20°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$290 Vol.
3%
23°C
$903 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,416 Vol.
12%
25°C
$1,261 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,251 Vol.
27%
27°C
$1,424 Vol.
25%
28°C
$1,689 Vol.
13%
29°C
$401 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$2,594 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest probability of peak temperatures in the 25–27°C range for Milan on August 20, driven by increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon thundery showers or cloud cover that could limit insolation and suppress the daily maximum. The Po Valley’s typical summer high-pressure setup favors warm conditions, but subtle differences in convective timing and low-level humidity introduce spread across guidance, with historical August maxima near 28–30°C providing context for the downside risk. Market-implied odds clustering around 26°C reflect traders’ assessment of these meteorological variables and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$11,059Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest probability of peak temperatures in the 25–27°C range for Milan on August 20, driven by increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon thundery showers or cloud cover that could limit insolation and suppress the daily maximum. The Po Valley’s typical summer high-pressure setup favors warm conditions, but subtle differences in convective timing and low-level humidity introduce spread across guidance, with historical August maxima near 28–30°C providing context for the downside risk. Market-implied odds clustering around 26°C reflect traders’ assessment of these meteorological variables and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,059Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a modest probability of peak temperatures in the 25–27°C range for Milan on August 20, driven by increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon thundery showers or cloud cover that could limit insolation and suppress the daily maximum. The Po Valley’s typical summer high-pressure setup favors warm conditions, but subtle differences in convective timing and low-level humidity introduce spread across guidance, with historical August maxima near 28–30°C providing context for the downside risk. Market-implied odds clustering around 26°C reflect traders’ assessment of these meteorological variables and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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