Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position Tokyo’s August 20 maximum near 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows a long-term average high of about 31°C, but increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected tomorrow are limiting solar heating and capping potential extremes below 32°C. High humidity typical of the season enhances perceived heat yet rarely drives record daily maxima without clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation probability over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 20 de agosto?
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
21%
31°C
38%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$194 Vol.
1%
28°C
$90 Vol.
3%
29°C
$28 Vol.
6%
30°C
$127 Vol.
21%
31°C
$93 Vol.
38%
32°C
$53 Vol.
27%
33°C
$24 Vol.
9%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C
$16 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position Tokyo’s August 20 maximum near 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows a long-term average high of about 31°C, but increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected tomorrow are limiting solar heating and capping potential extremes below 32°C. High humidity typical of the season enhances perceived heat yet rarely drives record daily maxima without clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation probability over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,251Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position Tokyo’s August 20 maximum near 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows a long-term average high of about 31°C, but increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected tomorrow are limiting solar heating and capping potential extremes below 32°C. High humidity typical of the season enhances perceived heat yet rarely drives record daily maxima without clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation probability over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,251Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position Tokyo’s August 20 maximum near 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows a long-term average high of about 31°C, but increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected tomorrow are limiting solar heating and capping potential extremes below 32°C. High humidity typical of the season enhances perceived heat yet rarely drives record daily maxima without clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation probability over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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