The Southwest monsoon is the dominant driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities for Manila's August 20 high, with 31°C at 26% and 32°C at 21% reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rains expected to moderate daytime heating. PAGASA's extended outlook projects a 26–33°C range amid ongoing habagat conditions, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31°C and recent observations showing suppressed maxima around 28–30°C. Model consensus emphasizes rain-cooled air masses and high humidity limiting peaks above 33°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated PAGASA and numerical guidance releases over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 20 de agosto?
31°C 40%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
27%
32°C
21%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C o más
1%
31°C 40%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$296 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$29 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1 Vol.
12%
34°C
$126 Vol.
2%
35°C o más
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Southwest monsoon is the dominant driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities for Manila's August 20 high, with 31°C at 26% and 32°C at 21% reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rains expected to moderate daytime heating. PAGASA's extended outlook projects a 26–33°C range amid ongoing habagat conditions, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31°C and recent observations showing suppressed maxima around 28–30°C. Model consensus emphasizes rain-cooled air masses and high humidity limiting peaks above 33°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated PAGASA and numerical guidance releases over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$505Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Southwest monsoon is the dominant driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities for Manila's August 20 high, with 31°C at 26% and 32°C at 21% reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rains expected to moderate daytime heating. PAGASA's extended outlook projects a 26–33°C range amid ongoing habagat conditions, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31°C and recent observations showing suppressed maxima around 28–30°C. Model consensus emphasizes rain-cooled air masses and high humidity limiting peaks above 33°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated PAGASA and numerical guidance releases over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$505Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Southwest monsoon is the dominant driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities for Manila's August 20 high, with 31°C at 26% and 32°C at 21% reflecting widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rains expected to moderate daytime heating. PAGASA's extended outlook projects a 26–33°C range amid ongoing habagat conditions, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31°C and recent observations showing suppressed maxima around 28–30°C. Model consensus emphasizes rain-cooled air masses and high humidity limiting peaks above 33°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated PAGASA and numerical guidance releases over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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