Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Mexico City on August 3, with trader consensus split between 26°C and 27°C reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation in a subtropical highland climate, strong afternoon thunderstorms typical of the August rainy season can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer morning conditions or delayed rainfall allow modest warming. Key differentiating variables include the precise onset of convection, humidity levels influencing the urban heat island, and local wind patterns; ensemble model spreads highlight this uncertainty, with historical August maxima averaging 24–26°C providing context for the narrow probability distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 3 de agosto?
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
35%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$226 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$213 Vol.
1%
23°C
$213 Vol.
2%
24°C
$31 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3 Vol.
8%
26°C
$16 Vol.
35%
27°C
$83 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$1 Vol.
5%
30°C
$14 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Mexico City on August 3, with trader consensus split between 26°C and 27°C reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation in a subtropical highland climate, strong afternoon thunderstorms typical of the August rainy season can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer morning conditions or delayed rainfall allow modest warming. Key differentiating variables include the precise onset of convection, humidity levels influencing the urban heat island, and local wind patterns; ensemble model spreads highlight this uncertainty, with historical August maxima averaging 24–26°C providing context for the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$859Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Mexico City on August 3, with trader consensus split between 26°C and 27°C reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation in a subtropical highland climate, strong afternoon thunderstorms typical of the August rainy season can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer morning conditions or delayed rainfall allow modest warming. Key differentiating variables include the precise onset of convection, humidity levels influencing the urban heat island, and local wind patterns; ensemble model spreads highlight this uncertainty, with historical August maxima averaging 24–26°C providing context for the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$859Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Mexico City on August 3, with trader consensus split between 26°C and 27°C reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and convective timing. At 2,240 meters elevation in a subtropical highland climate, strong afternoon thunderstorms typical of the August rainy season can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while clearer morning conditions or delayed rainfall allow modest warming. Key differentiating variables include the precise onset of convection, humidity levels influencing the urban heat island, and local wind patterns; ensemble model spreads highlight this uncertainty, with historical August maxima averaging 24–26°C providing context for the narrow probability distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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